Estimated Contributions of the Most Recent Class Years
Allopathic and Osteopathic Schools, Nurse Practitioner and Physician Assistant Programs
Using association data sources and the Standard Primary Care Year the following estimates of future primary care delivery can be made in primary care, rural primary care, and underserved primary care.
Robert C. Bowman, M.D. [email protected]
In order of primary care contributions
| 100% FM | 100% PD | FM Dominant | IM Dominant | 100% IM | Low PC | Duluth 1972 - 2008 | Duluth 2009 | WVSOM | Ross 2009 | Rockford 2009 | Kirksville 2009 | US MD and DO | NP and PA | Einstein | Harvard | Columbia | Cornell | Yale | ||
| FM Numbers | 100 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 36 | 32 | 25 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| IM Numbers | 0 | 0 | 20 | 30 | 100 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 22 | 13 | 25 | 6 | 30 | 30 | 25 | 20 | 17 | |
| PD Numbers | 0 | 100 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 4 | |
| Primary Care Claimed % | 100 | 100 | 60 | 60 | 100 | 37 | 60 | 47 | 49 | 63 | 56 | 38 | 44 | 37 | 46 | 40 | 36 | 29 | 23 | |
| FM at 25 SPC yrs | 2500 | 0 | 750 | 375 | 0 | 300 | 1380 | 1080 | 896 | 650 | 392 | 448 | 216 | 270 | 48 | 40 | 20 | 0 | 40 | |
| IM at 5 SPC yrs | 0 | 0 | 100 | 150 | 500 | 75 | 64 | 48 | 80 | 150 | 132 | 78 | 50 | 60 | 60 | 30 | 25 | 20 | 17 | |
| PD at 14 SPC yrs | 0 | 1400 | 140 | 210 | 0 | 140 | 108 | 90 | 112 | 112 | 320 | 144 | 154 | 40 | 168 | 64 | 80 | 72 | 32 | |
| Total SPC per 100 Grads | 2500 | 1400 | 990 | 735 | 500 | 515 | 1552 | 1218 | 1088 | 912 | 844 | 670 | 420 | 370 | 276 | 134 | 125 | 92 | 89 | |
| SPC Years per Grad | 25 | 14 | 9.9 | 7.35 | 5 | 5.15 | 15.52 | 12.18 | 10.88 | 9.12 | 8.44 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.76 | 1.34 | 1.25 | 0.92 | 0.89 | |
| Rural SPC yrs per Grad | 7.5 | 1.4 | 2.51 | 1.515 | 0.6 | 1.13 | 6.3948 | 5.0076 | 4.7568 | 1.887 | 1.432 | 1.342 | 0.5316 | 0.89 | 0.21 | 0.103 | 0.0805 | 0.046 | 0.0805 | |
| Under SPC yrs per Grad | 6.25 | 1.68 | 2.163 | 1.3695 | 0.6 | 1.008 | 0.7588 | 0.5952 | 2.9024 | 0.6772 | 0.5848 | 0.4916 | 0.4656 | 0.566 | 0.2304 | 0.0776 | 0.062 | 0.0368 | 0.0596 | |
| FM Rural | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% | 45% | 45% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 18% | 30% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | |
| FM Underserved | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 5% | 5% | 30% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | |
| IM Rural | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | |
| IM Underserved | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | |
| PD Rural | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | |
| PD Underserved | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
A nation where physicians, nurse practitioners, and physician assistants grow ever more exclusive in origins, training, and career choices cannot deliver health access to the 65% of the American people left behind.