Medical School Admissions By Income: Pipeline Issues in Medical Education

Robert C. Bowman, M.D.

Where do we lose the physicians most likely to serve the underserved and what do income changes mean for the specialties that serve the underserved like family medicine?    

Matters of Perspective- comparisons of medical schools by types of students admitted by income, and how distribution and choice of FP disappears with increasing income, MCAT, and younger age - medical school leaders view distribution differently, especially those trained at schools with few distributional student types.

Jim Boulger of Duluth first presented this pipeline concept from high school to college to application to admission at Rural Medical Educator meetings

The nation had 3,792,800 that were or should have been seniors in high school. This figure involved the Age 20 - 24 numbers in the 2000 Census divided by the 5 years involved from 20 - 24. The graduation and college data is from Postsecondary Education. The data is matched up to actual class averages. The Family Medicine choices are based on income level as per Cooter's Jefferson Longitudinal Studies and my Birth Origins and FP Choice studies.

  Highest Income Next Highest Next Lowest Lowest
Age 20 - 24 2000 Census (Divided by 5) 948,200 948,200 948,200 948,200
High School Graduates 93% 91% 83% 66%
  881,826 862,862 787,006 625,812
College Continuation 82% 76% 66% 54%
  723,097 655,775 519,424 337,938
College Completion 72% 37% 25% 20%
  520,630 242,637 129,856 67,588
         
Ratio of college completion to medical school admissions 50 78 81 84
         
Medical School Admissions in Allopathic US schools        
15900 10400 3100 1600 800
         
15900 10400 3100 1600 800
         
Admissions Per 100,000        
All in Census Year Group 1096.81 326.94 168.74 84.37
High School Graduates 1179.4 359.3 203.3 127.8
College Continuation 1438.3 472.7 308.0 236.7
College Completion 1997.6 1277.6 1232.1 1183.6
         
 Actual data average 16219 10505 3196 1667 851
Medical School Completion 99% 97% 96% 94%
Allopathic Medical School Graduates 10296 3007 1536 752
         
Family Physicians - Choice varies by income level of admitted students 5% 8% 13% 22%
    Total   1120 515 241 200 165
Match rate in family medicine for Allopathic Students = 7.0%        
         
Family Physicians Future 2008 predicted based on increased higher income admissions and continued declines in admission of lower income students        
Total     951 601 202 137 10
Match rate in family medicine for Allopathic Students = 6.0%        

Graduation data from www.postsecondaryeducation.org

Maps of Graduation indicate state variations in high school and college data.

Unless the nation reverses course and admits more lower income, whites, males, older students or others likely to choose family medicine, the nation will have increasing difficulty with health care access, particularly in rural and poverty locations.

Maldistribution Cured

Physician Workforce Studies

Physician Distribution in the United States

State By State Education Status

States Graduating More Family Physicians

Most Rural FP Grads

Underserved - Overview and Models

www.ruralmedicaleducation.org

 

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